Well I'm happy.
At the start of this tour, I made four bets..
$20 on a Cadel win at $2.75 (so $55 return)
$20 on a Sastre win at $8.00 (so $160 return)
$10 on Freire for green (after I saw that there wasnt that many TRUE sprints, and that itd be a strong sprinter, who coiuld climb a little, I thought Freire would edge out Hushovd) at $8 (so $80 return)
And I put $10 on a Straight Trifecta...It was Evans, Saste, Menchov. And this pays at $49.5! Meaning if thats how they finish, I win $495!!!
So I've basically already won my Green Jersey bet..
So I'm taking home $80 to start with! Then if Cadel can win, I get $55...(which basically covers the $60 I laid down)
If Sastre wins, I miss out on Cadels $55, but gain $160!
IF, Evans does win (as mentioned above), and I win the $55, then Sastre is most likely to finish second, meaning if Menchov can get enough time to beat Kohl and Schleck in the final TT, then I end up winning another $495!!
I'm gonna be rich!! I can feel it!
What does everyone think? I think 1'34" won't be enough for Sastre. Last year in the two 50km+ TTs Cadel put ~2'30" into Sastre. This year in a much shorter TT he put 1'16" into him...Sastre has the advantage of going last, AND the advantage of the yellow jersey pushing him....it will be mighty close. Poor Cadel may miss out again in exactly the same fashion as last year...Or Poor Sastre could wear the jersey until the second last day...It'll be close!
It's unlikely, but does anyone know how the race is decided in case of them finishing on the same time? I'm guessing stage wins? What if Cadel wins the TT, after Sastre has also won one stage? Is it decided on stage second places? Then thirds, fourths etc?
