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The Canadian General Election Thread

Sir Didier Drogba

Head Official
So, Stephen Harper has called the election, for October 19.

With almost three months to go, the election has been called extremely early, resulting in an unusually long campaign period.

Some would say Harper did this to allow for a more in depth debate of the issues facing Canada, others would say he wishes to take advantage of his party's superior financial resources to fight a long campaign.

Current polls put the three parties almost equal at this stage, with the Conservatives still maintaining a slim lead and NDP still remaining second by a tiny margin. But we all know we can't trust the polls.

Some interesting things have happened in the interim since the last election, with the conservatives looking threatened in their traditional heartlands for the first time, but with Trudeau failing to rally his early momentum and seize all the lost ground back from the NDP. Trudeau seems to be gearing up to fight a 'positive campaign', which is doing great things for his image, but has been seen to fail in Canada in the past, for example for the NDP in the most recent BC provincial elections. However, Mulcair, buoyed by his party making ground in progressive conservative areas, seems to be entirely neglecting Trudeau, which could be a mistake. Crucially, Harper seems to be holding Ontario thusfar.

I still predict Harper to be returned, and become the first PM in over a century to win four elections, but to lose his majority. I believe a Harper win would be good for Canada.
 

RobbieD_PL

Unreliable deceiver
Staff member
Moderator
Tabernaque de câlisse! Speaking of which, how are the BQ/PQ doing in La Belle Province? What are their chances?
 

Sir Didier Drogba

Head Official
They're doing poorly. The PQ (provincial party) got resoundingly beaten in the most recent provincial election. The Bloc (federal party) have brought back their firebrand Gilles Duceppe to lead them for this election, which should make the debated entertaining, but they are also predicted to continue to suffer at the polls.
 

Bobby

The Legend
RobbieD_PL;3843038 said:
Tabernaque de câlisse! Speaking of which, how are the BQ/PQ doing in La Belle Province? What are their chances?

They're going to get demolished.
 

Sir Didier Drogba

Head Official
Yeah, people say that here too. Time to reform the system. The flaw in the system being that the party you wanted to win didn't win.
 

Sir Didier Drogba

Head Official
Correct me if I'm wrong but is not the reason Harper is refusing to appoint those senators precisely because he wants to force system reform? As a result of the expenses scandal he wants to amend the constitution in order to switch to an elected senate, but he can't do this without approval from the provinces, so he is basically engaging in a mexican standoff with them by not filling these vacancies? So he is in fact rather nobly risking disadvantage to himself, because he could fill them now with his own appointees whereas if he does lose the election, he will lose this ability, in the name of precisely the kind of modernizing reform you are craving?
 

Sir Didier Drogba

Head Official
And he got almost 40% of the people who actually voted. We've had majority governments in the UK command a popular majority of far less.

You really cant count the 'no shows' - they chose not to vote.
 

Bobby

The Legend
You can become President with 22% of the vote (H).

Of course the equation that would allow that scenario includes winning both Wyoming *and* Washington DC which I'm not sure has ever been done.
 

Bobby

The Legend
2015 Canadian federal election thread

It's on Monday.

The Liberals are gonna win. I thought the NDP was going to do it in August but it looks like they poo'd the bed and will finish 3rd.

Edit: Thanks for moving this, forgot about this thread.
 

Bobby

The Legend
NDP guy on TV trying to save face. They're getting obliterated. He's talking about "the NDP having the balance of power" as a Liberal majority is called.
 

Bobby

The Legend
I thought they'd get a minority government but not this. I also didn't expect the NDP to get pounded like that.
 


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