::::::::::::::MP::::::::PTS
Serbia::::::::7::::::::::15
Spain:::::::::7::::::::::13
Bosnia:::::::7::::::::::10
Lithuania:::::7:::::::::::9
Belgium:::::::7:::::::::::8
San Marino:::7:::::::::::0
Say, (favouring Bosnia) this happens:
Bosnia beat Lithuania
Spain beat Serbia
Belgium beat San Marino
then...
Spain:::::::::7::::::::::16
Serbia::::::::7::::::::::15
Bosnia:::::::7::::::::::13
Belgium:::::::7:::::::::::11
Lithuania:::::7:::::::::::9
San Marino:::7:::::::::::0
the next matches...
Bosnia beat San Marino
Lithuania draws Serbia
Belgium beat Spain
Spain:::::::::7::::::::::16
Serbia::::::::7::::::::::16
Bosnia:::::::7::::::::::16
Belgium:::::::7:::::::::::14
Lithuania:::::7:::::::::::9
San Marino:::7:::::::::::0
What a tight finish it would be then...
Lithuania vs Belgium
San Marino vs Spain
Serbia vs Bosnia
and if on the second last matchday, Serbia beat Lithuania and Spain beat Belgium... then...
Spain:::::::::7::::::::::19
Serbia::::::::7::::::::::18
Bosnia:::::::7::::::::::16
Belgium:::::::7:::::::::::11
Lithuania:::::7:::::::::::9
San Marino:::7:::::::::::0
Then we have to beat Serbia in Belgrade and that would be SOME match! And that's for second place only though.
Looking at the other groups, potential second place finishers are:
Group A: Czech Republic, Romania
Group B: Turkey, Greece, Denmark
Group C: Russia, Slovakia
Group D: Switzerland, Ireland, Israel, France
Group E: Norway, Slovenia
Group F: Poland, England
Group H: Sweden, Croatia
We might be able to beat Romania, Turkey, Greece, Denmark, Russia, Slovakia, Swiss, Israel, Norway, and Slovenia.
But a match against Croatia in the play-off would be the best. First knocking out Serbia in the group stages, then Croatia in the play-off, but I should stop dreaming.
That's my analysis. I hope we qualify!